Been seeing heaps more chatter lately about punters not really caring who wins as much as whether the odds are off in the first place. Feels like every second betting account on my feed is banging on about getting the better number early, grabbing stuff before it moves, tracking closing lines and all that. Has this properly gone mainstream now or am I just getting fed more of it for some reason?
I get the basic idea well enough — if the bookie's posted a price that's a bit too fat, you take it even if the bet feels ugly. Fair play. What I'm curious about is whether people here are actually doing this seriously, like with their own ratings or spreadsheets, or if most of it is just punters dressing up gut feel with fancier words. Keen to know what changed too... sharper markets, more data around, more people using models, whatever it is.
Also, does it still work once you factor in limits, accounts getting clipped, prices vanishing in 30 seconds, all the annoying stuff? If you've had a decent run with this kind of approach, chuck in how you spot the spots you like — early lines, niche comps, player markets, promos, anything really. Genuinely curious because there's way more noise around it lately and I'm trying to work out if it's real edge or just this month's punter obsession.