I do alright on footy most weeks but with the races I still feel like I’m half just chucking one on and hoping for the best lol. I’ll look at the form a bit, maybe the barrier, maybe who’s riding, then the market moves and next minute I’ve talked myself into 3 different horses.
So what do you lot actually look at first when you’re trying to have a decent crack? Track condition? Distance? sectionals? jockey/trainer combo? I reckon I get a bit lost trying to look at everything at once.
Not really after miracle roughies or anything, more just a solid way to narrow a race down without doing my head in every Saturday arvo. If you’ve got a simple routine or a couple things you swear by, keen to hear it mate.
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Kai GoldenChip wrote >
So what do you lot actually look at first when you’re trying to have a decent crack?
First thing for me is whether the horse is actually suited by the trip and setup, before I even care about the jockey. Then I look at where it settles and if the race looks like it'll be run to suit. If I can't picture the run in my head pretty quick, I leave it alone. Saves a lot of dumb bets, mate.
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I got a lot better once I stopped trying to solve every race on the card. The market can send you in circles, especially late, so now I watch a replay or two and look for one thing only: did the run have an excuse or was it just plain flat. Half the time the answer is obvious when you strip all the noise out.
▲ 0#4
my lazy filter is brutal lol. if it's up in grade, weird distance, and drawn out, I'm usually gone straight away. I pass heaps more than I bet now and weirdly that helped more than any magic form stat.
